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Jiayin Group Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

782,315.30

increased by 227,781.90

1 Week

448,669.82

decreased by 105,863.58

1 Month

341,128.68

decreased by 213,404.72

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/29/2024

to

09/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Jiayin Group Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 10, 2019 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 297 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~297 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2735
3.64***
αARCH0.2708
14.79***
βGARCH0.7268
39.72***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0498
-0.68

0.998

Persistence

297d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2735
3.64***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2708
14.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7268
39.72***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0498
-0.68

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

297 days