V-Lab
Jiayin Group Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
565,734.30
increased by 104,863.70
1 Week
449,798.66
decreased by 11,071.94
1 Month
441,175.28
decreased by 19,695.32
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 10, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 321 trading days (~1.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2581 | 3.58*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2724 | 14.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7254 | 39.16*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0572 | -0.77 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
321 days
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