V-Lab
RTG Mining Inc. Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
35,900,200.00
decreased by 6,725,540.00
1 Week
32,836,245.00
decreased by 9,789,495.00
1 Month
68,976,041.20
increased by 26,350,301.20
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 5, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2586 trading days (~10.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1271 | 2.53** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1961 | 3.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8036 | 12.59*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -1.4066 | -0.53 |
| γ2 | 1.7690 | 0.43 |
| γ3 | -0.4464 | -0.16 |
| γ4 | 0.3837 | 0.20 |
| γ5 | -2.9759 | -1.70* |
| γ6 | 6.3081 | 2.71*** |
| γ7 | -4.4665 | -1.92* |
| γ8 | -2.8776 | -1.04 |
| γ9 | 10.5082 | 2.18** |
| γ10 | -15.5072 | -1.84* |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2586 days
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