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Sohu.com Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

20,388.50

decreased by 973.95

1 Week

22,321.88

increased by 959.43

1 Month

29,762.11

increased by 8,399.66

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Sohu.com Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 12, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 38% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.73
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1382
20.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8353
229.03***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0530
4.99***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

693147 days