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Sohu.com Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

13,547.03

decreased by 1,678.08

1 Week

15,394.92

increased by 169.81

1 Month

14,899.49

decreased by 325.62

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/29/2024

to

09/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sohu.com Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 12, 2000 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 62% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decayAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 62% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.4928
1.97**
αARCH0.0931
5.30***
βGARCH0.8781
97.14***
γleverage0.0575
2.36**

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.4928
1.97**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0931
5.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8781
97.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0575
2.36**

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-