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Equinor ASA Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

136.22

increased by 2.97

1 Week

138.89

increased by 5.64

1 Month

142.56

increased by 9.31

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/29/2024

to

09/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Equinor ASA ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 15, 2001 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3150 trading days (~12.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 124% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~3150 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 124% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.7921
1.83*
αARCH0.0361
6.05***
βGARCH0.9412
220.63***
γleverage0.0449
4.21***

1.000

Persistence

3150d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7921
1.83*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0361
6.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9412
220.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0449
4.21***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

3150 days