V-Lab
Equinor ASA Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
139.94
increased by 3.00
1 Week
143.09
increased by 6.15
1 Month
153.15
increased by 16.21
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 15, 2001 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3000 trading days (~11.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 124% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8123 | 7.44*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0363 | 24.22*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9410 | 878.63*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0450 | 16.82*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
3000 days
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