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Equinor ASA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

138.95

decreased by 0.67

1 Week

144.23

increased by 4.61

1 Month

150.94

increased by 11.32

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Equinor ASA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 15, 2001 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 152 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2900
5.76***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0650
11.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9304
169.73***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ10.0135
3.13***
γ2-0.0192
-2.33**

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

152 days