V-Lab
Equinor ASA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
138.95
decreased by 0.67
1 Week
144.23
increased by 4.61
1 Month
150.94
increased by 11.32
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 15, 2001 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 152 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2900 | 5.76*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0650 | 11.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9304 | 169.73*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | 0.0135 | 3.13*** |
| γ2 | -0.0192 | -2.33** |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
152 days
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