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Equinor ASA ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

142.64

decreased by 0.76

1 Week

147.51

increased by 4.11

1 Month

153.01

increased by 9.61

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Equinor ASA ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 15, 2001 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 632 trading days (~2.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 15% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0584
28.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9362
794.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0086
2.34**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.02
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9995
2,498.78***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

632 days