V-Lab
ABN AMRO Group NV ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
174.71
1 Week
174.21
1 Month
182.51
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 19, 2015 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 33 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 33 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 86 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0508 | 7.83*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9311 | 210.56*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0060 | -0.30 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 6.29*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6429 | 8.16*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3208 | 5.77*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
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