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ABN AMRO Group NV Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

171.80

decreased by 6.26

1 Week

169.58

decreased by 8.48

1 Month

177.69

decreased by 0.37

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:10 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of ABN AMRO Group NV ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 2015 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 123 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 131% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.0687
9.74***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0372
9.87***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9328
335.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0488
8.23***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

123 days