V-Lab
Ryman Hospitality Properties Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
179.48
decreased by 11.23
1 Week
189.68
decreased by 1.03
1 Month
182.32
decreased by 8.39
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 24, 1991 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 138629 trading days (~550.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2354 | 0.36 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0823 | 0.03 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9177 | 0.36 |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -0.0879 | -0.02 |
| γ2 | 0.1162 | 0.02 |
| γ3 | -0.0458 | -0.03 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
138629 days
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