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Millrose Properties Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

288.40

decreased by 9.49

1 Week

282.43

decreased by 15.46

1 Month

302.16

increased by 4.27

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 11:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Millrose Properties Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 5, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 42 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0405
6.29***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0605
2.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9232
37.27***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.0444
-1.72*

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

42 days