V-Lab
Knowledge Realty Trust Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
29.61
decreased by 11.93
1 Week
32.94
decreased by 8.60
1 Month
43.43
increased by 1.89
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 18, 2025 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0746 | 6.06*** |
| αARCH | 0.2918 | 3.62*** |
| βGARCH | 0.5651 | 5.57*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -4.5852 | -4.82*** |
0.857
Persistence4d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0746 | 6.06*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2918 | 3.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5651 | 5.57*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -4.5852 | -4.82*** |
Persistence:
0.857
Half-life:
4 days
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