V-Lab
Knowledge Realty Trust Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
94.87
increased by 12.37
1 Week
110.74
increased by 28.24
1 Month
163.78
increased by 81.28
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 07:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 18, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1216 | 6.37*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2678 | 2.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5739 | 4.69*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -3.0117 | -1.96* |
Persistence:
0.842
Half-life:
4 days
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