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Knowledge Realty Trust Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026

1 Day

43.85

decreased by 5.55

1 Week

32.69

decreased by 16.71

1 Month

29.52

decreased by 19.88

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 07:49 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/26/2024

to

10/26/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Knowledge Realty Trust ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 18, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1083
6.46***
αARCH0.2846
3.55***
βGARCH0.5501
5.07***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-3.9218
-3.94***

0.835

Persistence

4d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1083
6.46***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2846
3.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5501
5.07***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-3.9218
-3.94***

Persistence:

0.835

Half-life:

4 days