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Knowledge Realty Trust Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

29.61

decreased by 11.93

1 Week

32.94

decreased by 8.60

1 Month

43.43

increased by 1.89

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Knowledge Realty Trust ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 18, 2025 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0746
6.06***
αARCH0.2918
3.62***
βGARCH0.5651
5.57***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-4.5852
-4.82***

0.857

Persistence

4d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0746
6.06***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2918
3.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5651
5.57***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-4.5852
-4.82***

Persistence:

0.857

Half-life:

4 days