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ACRES Commercial Realty Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

21,189.08

decreased by 2,667.24

1 Week

25,323.18

increased by 1,466.86

1 Month

31,205.74

increased by 7,349.42

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 11:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ACRES Commercial Realty Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 7, 2006 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 237 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~237 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1278
5.00***
αARCH0.1395
15.52***
βGARCH0.8575
98.86***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0121
2.84***

0.997

Persistence

237d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1278
5.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1395
15.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8575
98.86***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0121
2.84***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

237 days