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ACRES Commercial Realty Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 28th, 2026

1 Day

53,825.95

increased by 3,371.28

1 Week

46,252.58

decreased by 4,202.09

1 Month

47,835.66

decreased by 2,619.01

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/27/2024

to

10/27/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ACRES Commercial Realty Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 7, 2006 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 198 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~198 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1600
5.15***
αARCH0.1392
15.43***
βGARCH0.8573
98.31***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0134
3.70***

0.997

Persistence

198d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1600
5.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1392
15.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8573
98.31***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0134
3.70***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

198 days