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V-Lab

Unicap Modaraba GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

94.78%

increased by 2.39%

1 Week

100.79%

increased by 8.40%

1 Month

116.40%

increased by 24.01%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Unicap Modaraba GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 27, 2012 to Aug 24, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.2914
11.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0908
9.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8515
115.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0124
0.64

Persistence:

0.948

Half-life:

13 days