United Security Bancshares/Fresno CA Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:25.12% (-1.45%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2223 | 4.65 | |
| 0.1684 | 8.91 | |
| 0.7852 | 38.18 | |
| 0.0680 | 4.31 | |
| -0.1402 | -6.33 | |
| 0.1199 | 8.05 | |
| -0.0574 | -5.41 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 3, 1999 to Feb 6, 2026
Mar 3, 1999 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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