United Security Bancshares/Fresno CA Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:25.64% (-1.43%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2234 | 4.64 | |
| 0.1686 | 8.93 | |
| 0.7853 | 38.28 | |
| 0.0676 | 4.26 | |
| -0.1392 | -6.18 | |
| 0.1176 | 6.97 | |
| -0.0508 | -2.17 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 3, 1999 to Feb 6, 2026
Mar 3, 1999 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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