CBOE Volatility Index

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CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index

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How volatility evolves over time

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{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	1.8642	6.52***
αARCH	0.1570	7.86***
βGARCH	0.7658	47.46***
γleverage	-0.7847	-1.13

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	1.8642	6.52***
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.1570	7.86***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.7658	47.46***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.7847	-1.13

V-Lab

Travelzoo Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Travelzoo Inc Analyses