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V-Lab
V-Lab

Travelzoo Inc GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

53.51%

increased by 4.63%

1 Week

55.87%

increased by 6.99%

1 Month

62.37%

increased by 13.49%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:59 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Travelzoo Inc GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 29, 2002 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 15-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0532
3.67***
αARCH0.0904
5.18***
βGARCH0.8639
36.45***

0.954

Persistence

15d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0532
3.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0904
5.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8639
36.45***

Persistence:

0.954

Half-life:

15 days