Travelzoo Inc MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
48.46%
decreased by 0.21%
1 Week
50.36%
increased by 1.69%
1 Month
56.54%
increased by 7.87%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:44 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 3, 2002 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 34-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.5709 | 2.12** |
| αARCH | 0.1868 | 7.33*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7929 | 29.05*** |
0.980
Persistence34d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5709 | 2.12** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1868 | 7.33*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7929 | 29.05*** |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
34 days
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