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V-Lab

Travelzoo Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

53.83%

increased by 10.83%

1 Week

55.33%

increased by 12.33%

1 Month

60.29%

increased by 17.29%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:59 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Travelzoo Inc AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 3, 2002 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 33 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 33 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 33-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.5760
3.81***
αARCH0.2120
5.85***
βGARCH0.7928
29.22***
γleverage-0.0517
-1.25

0.979

Persistence

33d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5760
3.81***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2120
5.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7928
29.22***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0517
-1.25

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days