V-Lab
Travelzoo Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
53.83%
increased by 10.83%
1 Week
55.33%
increased by 12.33%
1 Month
60.29%
increased by 17.29%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:59 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 3, 2002 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 33 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 33 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 33-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.5760 | 3.81*** |
| αARCH | 0.2120 | 5.85*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7928 | 29.22*** |
| γleverage | -0.0517 | -1.25 |
0.979
Persistence33d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5760 | 3.81*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2120 | 5.85*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7928 | 29.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0517 | -1.25 |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
Other Travelzoo Inc Analyses
Other Asy. MEM Analyses on Equities