TEA Smallholders Factories Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:30.75% (-2.95%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9221 | 7.17 | |
| 0.1770 | 6.26 | |
| 0.5629 | 10.27 | |
| 0.0079 | 0.07 | |
| -0.2055 | -1.17 | |
| 0.5850 | 4.33 | |
| -0.7937 | -5.85 | |
| 0.6414 | 4.53 | |
| -0.3508 | -2.46 | |
| 0.1621 | 1.08 | |
| -0.0322 | -0.19 | |
| -0.1095 | -0.68 | |
| 0.1810 | 1.64 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 24, 1997 to Feb 6, 2026
Jun 24, 1997 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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