TEA Smallholders Factories Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:55.44% (+0.97%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9002 | 7.30 | |
| 0.1768 | 6.39 | |
| 0.5214 | 8.57 | |
| 0.0034 | 0.03 | |
| -0.2076 | -1.22 | |
| 0.6015 | 4.63 | |
| -0.8091 | -6.22 | |
| 0.6441 | 4.74 | |
| -0.3368 | -2.44 | |
| 0.1230 | 0.84 | |
| 0.0695 | 0.41 | |
| -0.3681 | -2.09 | |
| 0.8832 | 4.59 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 24, 1997 to Feb 13, 2026
Jun 24, 1997 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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