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V-Lab

TEA Smallholders Factories Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:55.44% (+0.97%)
Analysis last updated: Sunday, February 15, 2026 at 03:02 AM UTC
Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of TEA Smallholders Factories SGARCH
paramt-stat
ω0.90027.30
α0.17686.39
β0.52148.57
γ10.00340.03
γ2-0.2076-1.22
γ30.60154.63
γ4-0.8091-6.22
γ50.64414.74
γ6-0.3368-2.44
γ70.12300.84
γ80.06950.41
γ9-0.3681-2.09
γ100.88324.59
Estimation Period:
Jun 24, 1997 to Feb 13, 2026
Impact of return on volatility tomorrow
Volatility Forecasts