Serica Energy plc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:43.90% (+1.60%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5355 | 3.36 | |
| 0.0863 | 4.19 | |
| 0.7474 | 13.55 | |
| 0.0058 | 0.02 | |
| -0.0266 | -0.08 | |
| -0.2689 | -1.21 | |
| 0.6784 | 2.83 | |
| -0.6298 | -2.53 | |
| 0.3111 | 1.47 | |
| -0.1608 | -0.94 | |
| 0.2182 | 1.32 | |
| -0.1955 | -1.39 | |
| 0.0905 | 0.81 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 8, 2005 to Feb 6, 2026
Dec 8, 2005 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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