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V-Lab

Serica Energy plc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:53.57% (-1.26%)
Analysis last updated: Saturday, February 14, 2026 at 12:53 AM UTC
Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Serica Energy plc SGARCH
paramt-stat
ω0.53803.40
α0.08714.22
β0.742413.29
γ10.01360.06
γ2-0.0352-0.11
γ3-0.2732-1.23
γ40.69282.90
γ5-0.6505-2.63
γ60.33541.59
γ7-0.1905-1.12
γ80.26431.59
γ9-0.2855-1.84
γ100.30781.27
Estimation Period:
Dec 8, 2005 to Feb 6, 2026
Impact of return on volatility tomorrow
Volatility Forecasts