Serica Energy plc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:53.57% (-1.26%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5380 | 3.40 | |
| 0.0871 | 4.22 | |
| 0.7424 | 13.29 | |
| 0.0136 | 0.06 | |
| -0.0352 | -0.11 | |
| -0.2732 | -1.23 | |
| 0.6928 | 2.90 | |
| -0.6505 | -2.63 | |
| 0.3354 | 1.59 | |
| -0.1905 | -1.12 | |
| 0.2643 | 1.59 | |
| -0.2855 | -1.84 | |
| 0.3078 | 1.27 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 8, 2005 to Feb 6, 2026
Dec 8, 2005 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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