S&P GSCI Feeder Cattle Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 8th, 2026
1 Day
6.24%
decreased by 43.34%
1 Week
10.46%
decreased by 39.12%
1 Month
21.22%
decreased by 28.36%
Analysis last updated: Friday, June 5, 2026 at 11:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 116 | ||
| 1.0000 | 9,999,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 5.2670 | 14.45 | |
| 0.4128 | 15.39 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 7, 2002 to Jun 5, 2026
Jan 7, 2002 to Jun 5, 2026
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