Saga Pure Asa Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:13.13% (-1.06%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8292 | 2.27 | |
| 0.1330 | 4.98 | |
| 0.7942 | 21.74 | |
| -1.2351 | -2.72 | |
| 2.0900 | 3.38 | |
| -1.4437 | -4.40 | |
| 0.9446 | 3.30 | |
| -0.6112 | -2.07 | |
| 0.5411 | 1.77 | |
| -0.8066 | -3.47 | |
| 0.8168 | 3.72 | |
| -0.2264 | -1.08 |
Estimation Period:
May 11, 2010 to Feb 13, 2026
May 11, 2010 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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