Saga Pure Asa Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:14.08% (-0.62%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8111 | 2.24 | |
| 0.1334 | 4.96 | |
| 0.7929 | 21.50 | |
| -1.2718 | -2.78 | |
| 2.1482 | 3.46 | |
| -1.4808 | -4.51 | |
| 0.9717 | 3.39 | |
| -0.6335 | -2.14 | |
| 0.5609 | 1.84 | |
| -0.8134 | -3.25 | |
| 0.7896 | 2.09 | |
| -0.1438 | -0.18 |
Estimation Period:
May 11, 2010 to Feb 6, 2026
May 11, 2010 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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