Reisswolf Bulgaria AD Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, January 5th, 2026:1,056.04% (+901.42%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.7253 | 27,252,950.00 | |
| 0.9623 | 9,623,290.00 | |
| 0.0377 | 376,700.00 | |
| -52.1664 | -521,664,000.00 | |
| -108.9939 | -1,089,939,000.00 | |
| 156.6933 | 1,566,933,000.00 | |
| 102.7404 | 1,027,404,000.00 | |
| -84.2588 | -842,587,900.00 | |
| -79.0303 | -790,303,200.00 | |
| 24.1051 | 241,051,200.00 | |
| 134.6377 | 1,346,377,000.00 | |
| 47.9148 | 479,147,600.00 | |
| -316.8862 | -3,168,862,000.00 |
Estimation Period:
Sep 25, 2024 to Jan 1, 2026
Sep 25, 2024 to Jan 1, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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