Reisswolf Bulgaria AD Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, January 5th, 2026:1,193.83% (+654.17%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.7535 | 27,534,890.00 | |
| 1.0000 | 9,999,700.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 290.00 | |
| 181.7465 | 1,817,465,000.00 | |
| -467.8417 | -4,678,417,000.00 | |
| 433.5066 | 4,335,066,000.00 | |
| -172.0471 | -1,720,471,000.00 | |
| -41.3003 | -413,002,700.00 | |
| 144.4735 | 1,444,735,000.00 | |
| -163.7956 | -1,637,956,000.00 | |
| 121.8093 | 1,218,093,000.00 | |
| 344.4263 | 3,444,263,000.00 |
Estimation Period:
Sep 25, 2024 to Jan 1, 2026
Sep 25, 2024 to Jan 1, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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