V-Lab
Ralliant Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
30.80%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
30.80%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
30.80%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 30, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8798 | 4.02*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | 46.2377 | 0.64 |
| γ2 | -83.9926 | -0.81 |
| γ3 | 98.5291 | 1.34 |
| γ4 | -167.7905 | -2.33** |
| γ5 | 354.7680 | 4.40*** |
| γ6 | -565.0406 | -3.76*** |
| γ7 | 545.1578 | 2.81*** |
| γ8 | -368.0888 | -2.16** |
| γ9 | 184.6027 | 1.75* |
Persistence:
0.000
Half-life:
-
Other Ralliant Corp Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on Equities