V-Lab
ParkerVision Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
138.00%
increased by 32.93%
1 Week
140.02%
increased by 34.95%
1 Month
144.40%
increased by 39.33%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 09:27 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 2, 1993 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 64% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1268 | 19.60*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7268 | 93.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0814 | 7.65*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0080 | 0.88 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0031 | 4.35*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9969 | 1,069.63*** |
Persistence:
0.894
Half-life:
6 days
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