Polymac Thermoformers Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:75.73% (+2.61%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.7478 | 0.34 | |
| 0.3516 | 1.45 | |
| 0.6298 | 4.22 | |
| 8.7899 | 4.41 | |
| -20.3034 | -6.98 | |
| 26.8684 | 18.40 | |
| -38.2202 | -17.47 | |
| 50.6327 | 27.24 | |
| -44.0215 | -15.64 | |
| 20.6511 | 6.41 | |
| -5.9812 | -2.77 | |
| 2.0024 | 2.03 |
Estimation Period:
Aug 26, 2014 to Feb 6, 2026
Aug 26, 2014 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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