Polymac Thermoformers Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:133.92% (-0.40%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 25.9924 | 2.16 | |
| 0.2560 | 6.64 | |
| 0.7429 | 18.63 | |
| 2.2956 | 1.57 | |
| -5.1750 | -2.34 | |
| 1.1798 | 0.44 | |
| 15.3471 | 4.48 | |
| -104.6117 | -40.69 | |
| 322.6163 | 146.96 | |
| -483.8406 | -182.08 | |
| 381.7317 | 80.99 | |
| -161.4332 | -39.88 | |
| 40.8931 | 7.42 |
Estimation Period:
Aug 26, 2014 to Feb 6, 2026
Aug 26, 2014 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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