Oragroup SA Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:41.46% (+4.41%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5500 | 1.35 | |
| 0.2292 | 5.80 | |
| 0.4478 | 4.48 | |
| 14.2579 | 3.05 | |
| -19.3811 | -3.68 | |
| 4.0940 | 1.72 | |
| 2.3169 | 0.84 | |
| -1.9313 | -0.76 | |
| 1.1377 | 0.50 | |
| -0.9947 | -0.45 | |
| -0.1746 | -0.08 | |
| 1.8367 | 0.93 | |
| -1.5879 | -1.21 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 16, 2019 to Feb 6, 2026
Apr 16, 2019 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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