Oragroup SA Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:33.72% (+5.64%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5505 | 1.35 | |
| 0.2285 | 5.73 | |
| 0.4390 | 4.26 | |
| 14.3683 | 3.07 | |
| -19.5375 | -3.71 | |
| 4.1818 | 1.76 | |
| 2.1894 | 0.80 | |
| -1.7084 | -0.68 | |
| 0.8193 | 0.36 | |
| -0.5657 | -0.25 | |
| -0.8639 | -0.38 | |
| 3.2662 | 1.37 | |
| -5.3484 | -1.65 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 16, 2019 to Feb 6, 2026
Apr 16, 2019 to Feb 6, 2026
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