National Bank of Canada Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:16.77% (-0.46%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3915 | 5.36 | |
| 0.1101 | 9.35 | |
| 0.8445 | 53.27 | |
| -0.0158 | -0.32 | |
| 0.0753 | 1.03 | |
| -0.1210 | -2.18 | |
| 0.0436 | 0.79 | |
| 0.1165 | 2.26 | |
| -0.2242 | -4.39 | |
| 0.2188 | 3.94 | |
| -0.1304 | -2.18 | |
| 0.0793 | 1.17 | |
| -0.0719 | -1.43 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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