National Bank of Canada Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:14.75% (-0.52%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3776 | 5.50 | |
| 0.1110 | 9.27 | |
| 0.8406 | 51.45 | |
| -0.0282 | -0.59 | |
| 0.0982 | 1.39 | |
| -0.1385 | -2.57 | |
| 0.0530 | 0.98 | |
| 0.1185 | 2.36 | |
| -0.2386 | -4.84 | |
| 0.2433 | 4.49 | |
| -0.1672 | -2.76 | |
| 0.1429 | 1.86 | |
| -0.2124 | -2.17 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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