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	param	t-stat
$ω$	1.3082	1.28
$α$	0.3984	15.41
$β$	0.5965	36.88
$γ_{1}$	-18.9455	-3.53
$γ_{2}$	48.0757	5.38
$γ_{3}$	-50.5151	-4.87
$γ_{4}$	31.2279	2.74
$γ_{5}$	-14.7950	-1.85
$γ_{6}$	7.1174	2.36
$γ_{7}$	-3.4254	-3.58
$γ_{8}$	1.5608	1.90
$γ_{9}$	-0.2192	-0.34

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Banca Monte Dei Paschi Siena Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 10th, 2026:38.99% (+6.67%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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