Banca Monte Dei Paschi Siena Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:29.49% (-3.94%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 13.8975 | 4.09 | |
| 0.4258 | 27.69 | |
| 0.5714 | 37.17 | |
| -15.1691 | -1.80 | |
| 48.9865 | 4.02 | |
| -60.8344 | -6.01 | |
| 40.3103 | 3.62 | |
| -19.6219 | -2.49 | |
| 8.5707 | 3.03 | |
| -3.6387 | -4.34 | |
| 1.9682 | 2.11 | |
| -1.0923 | -0.80 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 22, 2014 to Feb 6, 2026
Oct 22, 2014 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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