Middlefield Banc Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:41.44% (+2.35%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0751 | 2.32 | |
| 0.1708 | 6.95 | |
| 0.6786 | 14.93 | |
| 1.5388 | 2.18 | |
| -2.2470 | -2.26 | |
| 0.8816 | 1.67 | |
| -0.1173 | -0.34 | |
| -0.2462 | -0.80 | |
| 0.9120 | 2.72 | |
| -2.0020 | -5.19 | |
| 2.6676 | 5.75 | |
| -2.0761 | -4.58 | |
| 0.7412 | 2.39 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 4, 2002 to Feb 6, 2026
Jun 4, 2002 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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