Middlefield Banc Corp Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:40.52% (+2.40%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1103 | 2.37 | |
| 0.1703 | 6.92 | |
| 0.6794 | 14.96 | |
| 1.5859 | 2.26 | |
| -2.3220 | -2.35 | |
| 0.9275 | 1.76 | |
| -0.1424 | -0.41 | |
| -0.2404 | -0.79 | |
| 0.9188 | 2.73 | |
| -2.0114 | -5.15 | |
| 2.6683 | 5.59 | |
| -2.0543 | -4.17 | |
| 0.6670 | 1.20 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 4, 2002 to Feb 6, 2026
Jun 4, 2002 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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