V-Lab
Kenvue Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
26.07%
decreased by 3.61%
1 Week
28.17%
decreased by 1.51%
1 Month
28.78%
decreased by 0.90%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 4, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8379 | 2.62*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2803 | 1.62 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0198 | 0.26 |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -3.3396 | -0.30 |
| γ2 | 2.0809 | 0.13 |
| γ3 | 6.4016 | 0.47 |
| γ4 | -14.6203 | -1.02 |
| γ5 | 21.2912 | 1.67* |
| γ6 | -21.7425 | -1.82* |
| γ7 | 25.7363 | 1.82* |
| γ8 | -41.8606 | -2.46** |
| γ9 | 44.9210 | 3.31*** |
| γ10 | -23.0508 | -3.44*** |
Persistence:
0.300
Half-life:
1 days
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