Jacques Bogart Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:40.26% (-1.68%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7772 | 5.36 | |
| 0.1054 | 7.72 | |
| 0.8431 | 41.88 | |
| -0.1343 | -0.98 | |
| 0.1970 | 0.92 | |
| -0.0349 | -0.23 | |
| -0.0134 | -0.09 | |
| -0.2514 | -1.44 | |
| 0.5590 | 3.73 | |
| -0.5834 | -4.39 | |
| 0.4822 | 3.17 | |
| -0.3173 | -2.70 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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