Jacques Bogart Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:51.19% (-1.42%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8234 | 5.00 | |
| 0.1029 | 7.87 | |
| 0.8549 | 46.01 | |
| -0.0700 | -1.31 | |
| 0.1645 | 2.02 | |
| -0.2243 | -3.93 | |
| 0.2351 | 4.19 | |
| -0.1832 | -2.77 | |
| 0.2425 | 2.42 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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