Hub Girisim Sermay Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:70.82% (-13.06%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3620 | 3.87 | |
| 0.1802 | 6.52 | |
| 0.6187 | 12.65 | |
| -0.3277 | -0.62 | |
| 0.4503 | 0.49 | |
| -0.8195 | -1.04 | |
| 2.0784 | 3.22 | |
| -2.5465 | -5.86 | |
| 1.4751 | 3.82 | |
| -0.0784 | -0.23 | |
| -0.5519 | -1.86 | |
| 0.4312 | 2.15 |
Estimation Period:
Aug 10, 2012 to Feb 6, 2026
Aug 10, 2012 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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