Hub Girisim Sermay Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:84.36% (-11.44%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3552 | 3.93 | |
| 0.1789 | 6.43 | |
| 0.6039 | 11.66 | |
| -0.3573 | -0.69 | |
| 0.4930 | 0.55 | |
| -0.8375 | -1.09 | |
| 2.0849 | 3.30 | |
| -2.5360 | -5.96 | |
| 1.4170 | 3.75 | |
| 0.0767 | 0.22 | |
| -0.9062 | -2.76 | |
| 1.3429 | 3.31 |
Estimation Period:
Aug 10, 2012 to Feb 6, 2026
Aug 10, 2012 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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