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V-Lab

Filana Therapeutics Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

78.53%

increased by 1.98%

1 Week

85.23%

increased by 8.68%

1 Month

96.91%

increased by 20.36%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Filana Therapeutics Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 14, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 53% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2324
13.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6731
39.39***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0808
-3.87***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0277
1.82*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0059
2.86***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9936
418.88***

Persistence:

0.865

Half-life:

5 days