Firstgroup PLC Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:23.67% (+0.50%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5535 | 5.50 | |
| 0.0718 | 6.12 | |
| 0.8858 | 42.46 | |
| -0.0139 | -0.32 | |
| -0.0756 | -1.14 | |
| 0.1781 | 3.41 | |
| -0.0882 | -1.15 | |
| -0.0730 | -0.71 | |
| 0.1727 | 1.90 | |
| -0.1967 | -2.61 | |
| 0.1361 | 2.31 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 15, 1995 to Feb 6, 2026
Jun 15, 1995 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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