Firstgroup PLC Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:25.73% (+0.46%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5598 | 5.60 | |
| 0.0729 | 6.17 | |
| 0.8836 | 41.94 | |
| -0.0078 | -0.18 | |
| -0.0866 | -1.31 | |
| 0.1865 | 3.59 | |
| -0.0932 | -1.22 | |
| -0.0733 | -0.71 | |
| 0.1802 | 1.93 | |
| -0.2153 | -2.45 | |
| 0.1812 | 1.51 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 15, 1995 to Feb 6, 2026
Jun 15, 1995 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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