Embelton Limited Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, January 12th, 2026:21.35% (-4.22%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.8283 | 2.49 | |
| 0.2329 | 2.01 | |
| 0.6789 | 5.46 | |
| -1.9117 | -0.56 | |
| 3.1711 | 0.60 | |
| -2.7667 | -0.57 | |
| 3.6951 | 0.59 | |
| -5.8280 | -0.75 | |
| 5.7026 | 0.67 | |
| -2.1533 | -0.25 | |
| 3.3099 | 0.41 | |
| -6.8904 | -0.96 | |
| 4.9762 | 1.02 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 15, 1996 to Jan 9, 2026
Jan 15, 1996 to Jan 9, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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