Embelton Limited Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, January 12th, 2026:45.45% (-0.02%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.9027 | 4.58 | |
| 0.1116 | 1.35 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| -1.1020 | -0.75 | |
| 0.6909 | 0.31 | |
| 1.2234 | 0.65 | |
| -2.0494 | -0.83 | |
| 0.5527 | 0.15 | |
| 2.1596 | 0.48 | |
| 2.2487 | 0.52 | |
| -11.8650 | -2.53 | |
| 23.6549 | 4.98 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 15, 1996 to Jan 9, 2026
Jan 15, 1996 to Jan 9, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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